Gothamist
A non-profit newsroom, powered by WNYC.
Gothamist
Listen Live
News
Tropical Two-Step
By
Joe Schumacher
Published Sep 7, 2007
Modified Mar 7, 2008
Share
FacebookTwitterRedditEmail
Never miss a story
Email address
By submitting your information, you're agreeing to receive communications from New York Public Radio in accordance with our Terms .
By
Joe Schumacher
Published Sep 7, 2007
Modified Mar 7, 2008
Share
FacebookTwitterRedditEmail
We rely on your support to make local news available to all
Make your contribution now and help Gothamist thrive in 2026. Donate today
Gothamist is funded by sponsors and member donations
Two types of tropical weather will be the weather story to watch out for over the next several days. You may have noticed that this morning is much more humid than in the past few days. The humidity and warmer air are courtesy of the large high pressure system that has finally moved offshore. The southerly flow of air around the backside of that high pressure system will bring us a day or two of mid-summer weather. Expect today to be sunny and warm, with a high in the mid-80s. A few clouds may move in tomorrow, but it should remain warm and humid. Warm weather, humidity and a nearby front add up to a chance of showers, or a thunderstorm, beginning Saturday night and into Sunday.
Earlier in the week we mentioned that a disturbance near Bermuda had the potential to develop into a tropical storm. Upper level wind shear, which if too strong blows off the top of the system faster than the storm can develop, has, until a few hours ago, prevented the storm from developing. The wind shear calmed down last night and the old frontal boundary is beginning to take shape as a tropical disturbance. The same high pressure system that is giving us a summery day today is likely to push the disturbance eastward over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. Forecasts for the development of the storm are showing great uncertainty. The most likely scenario seems to be that it will become a tropical storm or minimal hurricane and make landfall in the Carolinas.
After striking the Carolinas there's a lot of uncertainty as to what the storm will do. Most models have the storm turning out to sea before it makes much northward progress. The local Weather Service forecast reflects these scenarios. Much more unlikely, but still slightly possible, is that the storm hugs the coast as it moves northward. This would be bad news as it would bring high winds, lots of rain and a storm surge to the city. WCBS-TV and AccuWeather are hinting that such a scenario might occur. We have no idea what NY Press is talking about in their summary of the WCBS story.
Gothamist will keep our eye on the tropics this weekend. For now though, the chance of having a summer-like day like today is rapidly disappearing as we move through September, so we're telling The Man that we'll be enjoying an extra-long lunch outside today.
Model forecasts of the movement of the tropical disturbance near Bermuda, all of which show the storm staying far from NYC, from the Weather Underground.
Tagged
gothamist
Gulf Stream
health
hurricane
joe schumacher
models
ny press
nyc
rain
the city
the man
tv
wcbs
weather
weather service
weather underground
Joe Schumacher
Read more
Gothamist is funded by sponsors and member donations
Gothamist is funded by sponsors and member donations
MORE news
Mamdani names re-entry specialist as chair of Rikers oversight board
Christopher Watler will help the department that a federal monitor says remains in crisis.
By
Ryan Kost
Published Oct 6, 2026 at 3:52 p.m. ET
NYC weighs expanding upstate reservoir following drought
The Delaware River Basin Commission is evaluating options to increase water storage, including expanding a reservoir in New York City.
By
Rosemary Misdary
News
NYC weighs expanding upstate reservoir following drought
The Delaware River Basin Commission is evaluating options to increase water storage, including expanding a reservoir in New York City.
By
Rosemary Misdary
Legionella found in Staten Island building's water system after 2 positive cases
By
Catalina Gonella
Legal 'loophole' helps NY Gov. Kathy Hochul, Bruce Blakeman raise millions
By
Jon Campbell
Police identify 2 men wanted for stabbing an off-duty NYPD officer
By
Ben Feuerherd
Never miss a story
Catch up on the most important headlines with a roundup of essential NYC stories, delivered to your inbox daily.
Sign upEmail address
By submitting your information, you're agreeing to receive communications from New York Public Radio in accordance with our Terms .