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'False fall' gets real: NYC, NJ to get cold and wet for the holiday weekend
By
Ryan Kost
Published Oct 9, 2025
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Adam Mordetsky / Getty Images
By
Ryan Kost
Published Oct 9, 2025
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After a run of gentle “false fall” days, a cold air mass has settled over the region and a nor'easter is expected for the holiday weekend.
Highs in the city aren’t expected to push much past 60 degrees Thursday, and things will only get cooler with clear skies overnight, according to National Weather Service meteorologist Faye Morrone.
Temperatures are expected to drop below freezing north and west of the city, especially across Connecticut and the lower Hudson Valley. In northern and western New Jersey, into western Passaic County, lows will hover near freezing. North Jersey suburbs will see temperatures in the mid to upper 30s. Those in the city should expect temperatures in the low 40s.
And that’s just the start.
A nor'easter developing this weekend should bring the region its first taste of true fall storminess. Rain is expected to start midday Sunday and into Monday, with temps at night in the upper 50s and low 60s during the day. Wind gusts are expected to get up to 10 mph at times.
“Then it kind of just slowly meanders off shore as it departs, so we could get some lingering rain and the like into Tuesday and toward the middle of next week,” Morrone said.
While the rain should be beneficial after recent dry weather, Morrone said “the bigger story will likely be the wind” and the potential for coastal flooding and beach erosion.
“Locations along the coast that tend to be vulnerable in these kinds of events would likely be impacted," she said.
According to New York City Emergency Management, coastal flooding will be the main concern. The agency encouraged those living in coastal areas to review their flood plans, move vehicles away from flood-prone streets and make sure any outdoor items were secure.
Marrone called the storm “one to keep an eye on.” She said the NWS will be monitoring the system in the days ahead and will have more forecast details and it draws nearer.
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new york city
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Ryan Kost
Ryan Kost is a reporter on the day-of news desk, where he covers breaking news and writes enterprise stories about jails, courts, prosecutors and government accountability. His work focuses on the public institutions that shape life in New York. Before joining the newsroom, he lead a multi-part investigation with Columbia Journalism Investigations and New York Focus into how New York prosecutors handle wrongful conviction claims. He's also been a staff writer at The San Francisco Chronicle, The Associated Press and The Oregonian. Got a tip? Signal: ryankost.20
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Gothamist is funded by sponsors and member donations
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