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Albany budget plan banks on Washington dollars that may disappear


By

Jimmy Vielkind

Published Mar 20, 2025


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Gov. Kathy Hochul stands in front of a screen that says 8% increase

 

Mike Groll/Office of Governor Kathy Hochul


By

Jimmy Vielkind

Published Mar 20, 2025


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This column originally appeared in The Politics Brief, our new weekly newsletter on the people, power and policies that shape New Yorkers' lives .

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As New York state lawmakers hash out a budget that’s expected to top $250 billion, they’re whistling past the graveyard when it comes to GOP plans for federal funding cuts.

The state budget proposed by Gov. Kathy Hochul relies on federal dollars for everything from highway projects to Medicaid, which provides health coverage to 9 million low-income New Yorkers. All told, federal funding makes up about $93 billion – or around 37% of the state’s overall spending plan. In budget talks, Hochul and fellow Democrats who control the state Legislature have assumed funding from Washington will continue at the pace set by the Biden administration, which funneled aid to states in the wake of the pandemic through COVID-19 relief bills and enhanced Medicaid reimbursements.

But every sign from the GOP-controlled Congress and President Donald Trump indicates that the fat times are over. House Republicans plan to cut $2 trillion in spending over the next decade, with exact cuts to be specified later. Trump has called for shutting entire agencies, including the federal Department of Education. On Tuesday, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy threatened to withhold money for the Metropolitan Transportation Authority unless transit officials specified their plans to reduce subway crime.

“The risk is across the board,” said Andrew Rein, president of the independent fiscal watchdog group Citizens Budget Commission. He said the state is spending at unsustainable levels and questioned whether there’s enough money to fund new initiatives – like Hochul’s proposal to send rebate checks to New Yorkers.

“The state may well have to deal with massive cuts and should be preparing for it,” Rein continued. “What that means is trying not to spend every cent available of cash on hand, because when cuts come down, we will need a transition plan to a new, lower level of federal spending. Having funds available will stave off a lot more pain.”

Top state lawmakers are viewing the possible cuts through a political lens.

“I'm not prepared to negotiate a budget that anticipates pain,” said Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie. “ If we have to come back and deal with pain, we'll do that with hopefully an explanation from the seven Republican members of Congress who would have to vote to do anything that hurts the state of New York.”

Hochul told reporters on Tuesday that it would be impossible to make up the lost revenue. She says she will file lawsuits to delay any reductions, and hope for Democrats to make congressional gains in 2026.

“The world can change in a better direction in 2026,” the Democratic governor said. “That’s what I’m focused on, just beyond damage control.”

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This week in New York politics

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new york state

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Jimmy Vielkind

Jimmy Vielkind covers how state government and politics affect people throughout New York. He has covered Albany since 2008, most recently as a reporter for The Wall Street Journal. Jimmy led a team of reporters that won a New York Press Club award for coverage of Andrew Cuomo’s downfall and was on a team that won a Gerald Loeb Award for coverage of Amazon’s HQ2 process. A native of the Capitol Region, Jimmy has two degrees in urban planning. His position is funded by a grant from the Corporation for Public Broadcasting. Reach Jimmy at [email protected].

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Gothamist is funded by sponsors and member donations


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