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Ferocious Nor'easter Could Dump 4-8 Inches Of Heavy Wet Snow On NYC
By
Joe Schumacher
Published Feb 7, 2013
Modified Feb 7, 2013
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By
Joe Schumacher
Published Feb 7, 2013
Modified Feb 7, 2013
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The various forecasts for tomorrow's big storm are starting to converge on a similar scenario, and the consensus is not good. The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch for the City and surrounding suburbs and a Blizzard Watch for Suffolk County and much of Connecticut and they are hinting that blizzard conditions may eventually reach the city. We should caution that a slight change in the storm's expected path will cause a large change in how much snow falls.
There are actually two low pressure systems involved, driving both the strength of the resulting storm and the uncertainty in predicting it. The first low is an Alberta Clipper moving over the Great Lakes tonight. By itself this would be an unremarkable storm, dropping an inch or so of snow on the city overnight tonight. The problem is a Gulf Coast low will quickly follow and move out over the ocean by Friday evening. When the energy of the first storm is added to the second, the combined storm is going to turn into a ferocious nor'easter.
The inch of snow that falls tonight will be followed by a lot of rain tomorrow as the gulf warmth and moisture reaches northward. Cooler air will arrive sometime between Friday afternoon and evening and that rain will turn back to snow. 4-8 inches of heavy, wet, snow is expected to fall in the city from Friday night into Saturday morning. Winds out of the East-Northeast blowing at 20-25 mph with gusts to 50 mph right at the time of a full moon high tide will cause coastal flooding on Long Island Sound and between the twin forks of Long Island. Eastern Long Island can expect several more inches of snow than here in the city, while eastern New England is looking at 1-3 feet of snow before the storm leaves the area on Saturday.
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nor'easter
rain
snow
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Joe Schumacher
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